Prototype · Archive not yet online. All values shown are illustrative. Full data collection begins Q3 2026.
Ephemeris
WILL_FED_CUT_MAY_2026 / 2026-01-01 .. 2026-04-17 · 1s · example dataset
Will the Fed cut rates at the May 2026 FOMC meeting?
Binary · Kalshi · resolves YES if FOMC announces a cut on/before 2026-05-14
YES
0.691
24H Δ
+0.083
VOL 24H
41.2k
03-19 14:00 · yes 0.721
News / social density
03-19 14:00
CURSOR
Timestamp Yes No Volume Δ 60s Context
1.3 MB · 287,419 rows · gzip
{"ts":"2026-03-19T14:00:00Z","market":"kalshi:WILL_FED_CUT_MAY_2026","yes":0.721,"no":0.279,"vol_1m":89240,"book":{"b":[[0.720,14200],[0.719,31400]],"a":[[0.722,18100]]},"ctx":{"hl":[{"src":"Bloomberg","txt":"FOMC holds, dots soften to two cuts"}],"social":{"r/federalreserve":{"vel":"+284/min"}}}}
{"ts":"2026-03-19T14:00:01Z","market":"kalshi:WILL_FED_CUT_MAY_2026","yes":0.722,"no":0.278,"vol_1m":89312,"book":{"b":[[0.721,14180]],"a":[[0.723,17800]]},"ctx":{"hl":[],"social":{"r/federalreserve":{"vel":"+291/min"}}}}
{"ts":"2026-03-19T14:00:02Z","market":"kalshi:WILL_FED_CUT_MAY_2026","yes":0.724,"no":0.276,"vol_1m":89488,"book":{"b":[[0.723,14090]],"a":[[0.725,17520]]},"ctx":{"hl":[],"social":{"r/federalreserve":{"vel":"+298/min"}}}}
// 287,416 more rows
WILL_FED_CUT_MAY_2026Contract · Kalshi
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FOMC_cuts_2026Saved query
2026-03-19 14:00:00ZTimestamp · 12 sources
Prototype preview

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Full data collection from Kalshi and Polymarket has not yet begun. Every tick, chart, table row, and context entry shown here is illustrative — it demonstrates the shape of the product, not live market data.

Archive goes online Q3 2026. Come back then to query real history.

Ephemeris · v0.1.4